Friday, December 14, 2012

Take a Look at Food and Fuel Inflation...



Article;
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/inflation-hits-10-month-low-but-rate-cut-unlikely/articleshow/17620360.cms

Comment;
I disagree that the main gauge of inflation is WPI, and, it is neither CPI nor core-inflation (manufactured products). If I had to choose an indicator of inflation I would go for food-and-fuel-inflation because the argument is that we need to protect the value of money poor people are getting because their income/wages are more or less indefinite, and, depends upon a variety of factors like season and availability of work. Poor people do not consume all the products WPI, CPI and core-inflation take into account. Ninety percent of their consumption basket includes food-and-fuel. Food inflation at 9.4% and fuel-inflation at 10% makes me, too, expect that key interest rate won’t come down in the next 4-5 months…

No comments:

Post a Comment

Large rate cuts can lower actual inflation and interest rates, which can in turn create expectations for more rate cuts.....

  Delay in rate cuts could delay investments, our RBI Governor probably wanted not to do it and by announcing the change in stance to neutr...