Monday, September 9, 2013

Inflation target for an unknown...


Article;
Auto-correct not working, wonkish (US).

Comment;

When demand goes down after the shock, prices will come down which will increase real wages relative to prices which will, again, push the aggregate demand that restores full-employment. Interest rates in this scene will go down because people will save more because of low prices. People will save more and the economy will invest more. This how market works to restore full-employment... Precisely called Pigou-Effect... And if interest rates are at zero it will push real interest rates in negative where the central bank should literally be paying for new investment (may be the government too) which is what the negative interest rates suggest... In this situation when we try to increase monetary base it increases expected inflation which in a liquidity trap situation is difficult to achieve because people are hoarding cash and expecting that prices will come down once the Fed's policy to target inflation is over. Short-term inflation targeting will not help; we need to target prices for an unlimited period of time to break liquidity-trap…

No comments:

Post a Comment

"Everybody is worried about rate cuts and nobody for lower interest rates on savings, when all save and few borrow..."

Growth is sacrificed when the value of the money is sacrificed because spending goes down due to inflation, and people buy less due to high ...