Deflation would not
last too long, because demand would go-up, since lower-prices could increase
demand. The most relevant example could be understood by depreciation in the
exchange rate when the nominal-exchange-rate increases relative to the prices (CP)
demand increases, another example is the movement of real-wages since when
inflation cuts real-wages labour-demand goes-up, the last example may be cut in
real-interest-rate with inflation, it increases demand for investment, and
foreign demand increases, too, and growth goes-up, even if wages are more less
fixed or sticky because of presence of the downward wages rigidity, but prices
might go-down because there is competition in the market to increase market
share and demand, and, as more firms enter market the market every-year prices
go down in the long-run... Supply is scarce people would rush to buy,
investors, too, firms could restrict it in the case of the supply-side weakness
and higher-cost ... After, the
inventories are consumed; firms could demand more resources and prices could
go-up... Economists partially explain the effect of lower-prices on the
unemployment-rate, but lower-prices increase real-wages and supply of the man-power.
Rich countries that pay higher-real-wages and incomes for the skills in demand attract
foreign labour-force, nonetheless voluntary and frictional-employment may
exist, but fail to accept the other-side, the good-side (common-side)...
Lower-prices may also help to reap the economies-of scale and sell more in the
short-run and earn higher-real-interest-rate and real-profits, more investment
would increase the nominal and real interest rates in the future, but assume
inflation is constant or low, close to
Milton Freedman’s Optimal-Monetary-Policy, he accepted that
deflation rather than inflation helps increase growth. Incentive to invest
increases, Capitalists would save, earn interest-income and invest more.
At once place the Capitalist income increases and they save more and
earn higher real-interest-rate, investor wait for lower-prices to invest and
sell at higher-prices. It depends upon the ability to hold money, lower income
level would have a higher propensity to consume out of a given income and save
less and higher incomes increase the ability to consume, save and invest more. Lower prices increase the real-wealth of ALL,
and increase both, consumption and savings and investment and employment and
demand/supply and the economic-growth. The lower borrowing-cost would increase
the supply. Investors track the growth projection, lower inflation and
interest-rate expectations could increase investment, employment and
economic-growth.. In the rich-world prices have gone down in the long-run, as
interest-rate response and threshold have varied over-time... In the long-run
interest-rate or the real-interest rate have shown a downward bias because of
the lower-interest-rate in the past-period, higher-supply and the lower
price-level. Cutting the nominal-interest-rate would also lower the
real-interest-rate if other-things, including inflation is constant, Ceteris-Paribus
(CP). But, the rich world central-banks are trying to lower
real-interest-rate by increasing inflation and inflation-expectations which is
difficult to achieve below full-employment. And, INDIA’s unemployment rate has
gone-up. The central-bank’s new-governor is appointed by the government
recently with a loaded monetary-policy committee. The committee has to decide
whether lower real-price of capital could stimulate supply and demand and
growth to increase investment and employment with stable or low inflation... Lower borrowing-cost would also increase
export-competitiveness... The government has a counter-cyclical role to control
too much volatility on the either side... Bring, the both, buyers and sellers
in equilibrium by the effect of wages, interest-rate and exchange-rate.
Actually, the real wages, interest rate and the exchange rate, by lowering
inflation and inflation expectations which means lower cost of borrowing,
higher supply and lower –prices.
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