Modi government has banned the exchange of Rs 500 and
1000 notes to curb the black money or the shadow economy and counterfeit currency
menace the Indian-economy is facing, which is expected to have a long-run
effect on the demand and supply as well as the prices and unemployment within
the economy. The step is likely to reduce the amount of money that has entered
the economy through wrong channels like tax-avoidance and fake currency by the neighbors
to sponsor terrorism. This is the undesirable-money that is coming into the
economy for destabilizing it and not good for the country in terms of
demand/supply and prices or inflation. The black-money is often turned into
other investments and is often hoarded under the mattresses. This is already
known that the magnitude of black-money within the the economy is far greater
than the black-money that has been kept in the foreign-economies to evade tax.
The decision by the government would rule out the possibility to trade in other
investment asset-classes like gold, land and property and their demand would go
down… In another way it would reduce the demand for everything that could be
purchased with the black money which means overall demand in the economy could
go down with the decision to remove the old 500 and 1000 rupee notes from circulation.
The measure could increase the real value of money in the economy because now
money is less which means demand and prices would go down. The relative quantity
of money would go down compared to the goods which would push down demand and
prices. However, the government has reduced the number of notes in big cash
transaction. Nonetheless, the more use of debit or credit cards in the transactions
would too help to account for the source of money and verify whether the money
is not unaccounted and prior taxes have been paid… The decision to cut back on
the black-money should benefit everybody in the same way in terms of the value
of money which could go up with lower demand and prices, except black-money
would go out of the market… It would increase real wages and income and wealth…
Lower prices increase demand and spending – consumption and investment – and the
economic-growth-rate…
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