A large part of Rs 500
and Rs 1000 black-money has been converted in to gold even after demonetisation
in the shadow market... There was no ban on gold accumulation and sale of it...
Black-money can easily be converted into gold and make high value denomination
notes black money into white... There was no restriction on selling gold and
depositing the money as sales turnover... Gold traders could easily sell gold
by accepting banned notes and then submit the money at banks as profits...
There was no restriction on depositing money with PAN as business-profits...
Unusual gold-sales must be brought to scrutiny...
Delaying the time limit
to cut-out high-value denomination black-currency would increase the
hangover... Black-money hoarders are smart people... More time to them would
increase conversion to other asset classes to create black-wealth... Cash is
still not abolished absolutely and banks are still accepting the banned-notes
which could be a business turnover after selling something... Cash in Rs 500 or
Rs 1000 notes still do not require a bank-account-number or PAN to verify the
source of income to buy investment assets such as gold or foreign-exchange or land...
A lot of black-money has already been converted in black-wealth... Unusual
income during the demonetization-period should be brought under the lens... No
significant price-crash has been observed even after replacing 86% of the
currency from circulation which might be attributed to the grace-period to
exchange old currency or deposits in bank-accounts... Gifts and inheritance in
a back-date are still out of the purview of scrutiny... Only income has been
targeted... There is alot of room for improvization to reduce ill-gotten wealth
in the last five or ten-years... Notwithstanding, cash-less transactions would
decide the fate of black-money-less-transactions, black-money and
black-wealth...
A help of few thousands
to the poor after increase in government coffers after demonetization would not
last too long... PM should invest in innovation and skill-development to increase
productivity and wages and incomes ... something durable... it is likely to
increase demand in the economy further on a solid base...
Demonetisation is
likely to lower inflation which could make things affordable for the poor...
even food... poor people could buy nutritious-food... It is a strike on
inequality... PM has repeatedly said that this would benefit the poor...
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