Monday, July 7, 2025

While productivity is converging it could take over 100 years to halve the productivity gap to the developed levels.....

 India's labor productivity is relatively low compared to leading economies, ranking 133rd globally with only $8 in GDP per working hour. This lag is attributed to factors like low investment in R&D, high import tariffs, a fragmented industrial base, limited participation in free trade agreements, and issues related to land access. While India is experiencing rapid economic growth, closing the productivity gap with top economies will require significant structural reforms and investments in human capital and technology. There's no definitive timeline for when India's productivity will reach parity with top economies, but continued focus on these areas could accelerate convergence.

India's Productivity Ranking:

As of 2023, India's labor productivity, measured by GDP per working hour, is significantly lower than many developed nations, placing it 133rd globally. For instance, Luxembourg, a top performer, generates $146 per hour, according to a LinkedIn post.

Factors Contributing to the Productivity Gap:

Low R&D Investment: Limited investment in research and development hinders technological advancement and innovation, crucial for productivity gains.

High Import Tariffs: Protectionist trade policies can restrict access to cheaper and higher-quality inputs, impacting overall productivity.

Fragmented Industrial Base: A large number of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) with limited scale and efficiency can drag down overall productivity.

Limited Participation in Free Trade Agreements: Reduced access to global markets restricts opportunities for economies of scale and specialization.

Land Access Issues: Inefficient land management and regulations can hinder the expansion of businesses and adoption of modern technologies.

Potential for Improvement:

Despite the challenges, India has the potential for significant productivity growth.

Structural Reforms: Implementing reforms to improve infrastructure, ease business regulations, and promote competition can unlock productivity gains.

Human Capital Development: Investing in education and skill development can enhance the quality of the workforce and its ability to adopt new technologies.

Technology Adoption: Encouraging the adoption of advanced technologies in manufacturing and other sectors can boost productivity.

No Definitive Timeline:

It's difficult to predict when India's productivity will reach the levels of leading economies. However, with sustained and focused efforts on the aforementioned areas, India can significantly accelerate the convergence process.

India is actively working towards achieving developed nation status by 2047, the 100th anniversary of its independence. This vision, known as "Viksit Bharat 2047," focuses on improving productivity, per capita income, and overall economic development. While the exact timeframe for full convergence with developed nations' productivity levels is difficult to pinpoint, India is experiencing rapid growth and is aiming to sustain this pace to reach those levels in the next two and a half decades.

This is the government's overarching vision for India to become a developed nation by 2047. India has seen impressive economic growth in recent decades, particularly after 2000, with improvements in both labor and total factor productivity. While there are positive trends, there are significant differences in productivity across Indian states, highlighting the need for balanced regional development. Access to infrastructure (power, transport, communication, technological advancements, and policy reforms are key factors influencing the pace of productivity convergence. Some studies indicate that while productivity is converging, the rate of convergence is relatively slow, with some estimates suggesting it could take over 100 years to halve the productivity gap, according to the World Bank. A focus on labor-intensive manufacturing, particularly in less industrialized states, is seen as a way to absorb the large workforce and improve productivity.

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While productivity is converging it could take over 100 years to halve the productivity gap to the developed levels.....

  India's labor productivity is relatively low compared to leading economies, ranking 133rd globally with only $8 in GDP per working hou...