Central Banks has been
provided with the most important job of deciding between the rate of inflation,
and, the rate economic-growth and employment, and their relationship is a
positive one. The rate of growth involves the rate of un/employment of
resources, both that are scarce and that which are not. To keep it simple, we
can take only labor and capital, where capital is scarce and labor is not that
scarce, at all, in an economy like India. And, when the level of investment
decreases the worst thing that comes into play is the fall in the level of
employment and in India to a greater extent. Any change in the prevailing rate
of interest results in a corresponding change in the supply of credited along
the length and breadth of the economy, which is a very direct kind of control
and gives result in just a matter of days since it is just a matter of
liquidity, upward movements may be sticky because organizing business takes
more time. The situation is more or less just like a stock-market, and changes
in variables are very prompt. But, when it comes to control wages and
consumption and thereby prices, all these variables are flexible upwards and
their downward movement is often painful - unemployment and decreased wages,
except prices (food-inflation) when they go down it is a moment of relief for
the majority, but that seldom happens, moreover the case remains the same, when
prices reach a level they provide a floor, itself, for future upward movements,
which provides an important insight for long-run trend of prices and their
control, for essential commodities. But, in case of wages, even though they are
flexible upwards they are also sticky to their current level. However, its
control is not that direct and is only through credit-control and investment.
Therefore, results, to obtain, like lowering wages, consumption, and prices-
which has to be actually affected, in the very short-period of time with an
indirect mechanism is a difficult task and can be obtained easily and in lesser
time by more direct price controls, price-control, itself.
And, i do think it can
be justified on the same ground as the control in credit, investment,
employment, wages, consumption and savings, and then prices. This is no
different than a more direct price-control. Both are equally painful but the
merit with direct price-control is that it doesn’t affect the industrial
out-put and economic-growth and, can rather be expected to complement it. The
process will not be that painful.
No comments:
Post a Comment