To understand the
comment below understanding of the article at the following link is a
requisite,
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/Columnists/Mythili-Bhusnurmath/Dont-take-savers-for-granted/articleshow/6185385.cms?curpg=1
Of course, the
assumption is non-behavioral and incomplete for inflation is a major concern,
before the Central-bank, while deciding for interest-rates, besides demand for
investment and supply of savings. Savings mainly come from middle-class and
above and the demand for investment largely comes from upper-class and little
from middle-class and the lower-class, the majority in India, rely on their
piggy-banks and hardly goes to bank for interest income. The reason being, the
cost of reaching banks and/or the banks reaching the cost. And, to mobilize
savings for investment purposes, the cost of reaching banks to keep the demand
for investment matched with supply of savings, it is good for the banks to bear
the cost of reaching banks. The case here for lower class is same as in the
Great-Depression of 1930s, when interest-rates were at their institutional
minimum or close to zero or economy experiencing a liquidity-trap, and, nobody
bothered to incur the cost of reaching banks and neither banks cared for
reaching the public. If banks would have cared to reach the public in form of
higher interest-rates, the public would have saved and the economy had
recovered sooner than it took. The point is that the marginal changes in
interest-rates should be sufficient to change the economy’s demand for money as
a whole and the demand for low, middle and, high classes in particular, and
only then we can expect to determine a relationship between rate of interest
and savings for partial equilibrium of different classes. Here the elasticity
of demand for money for different classes could be a factor in determining the
relationship mentioned above. The cause mainly responsible for decline in rate
of savings can be attributed to rate of inflation and the growth rate we
realized in the past decade, 8-9%, which are often associated with the same
factor, inflation. Higher growth rates are a result of high demand and high
inflation-targets and low interest rates and vice-versa.
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