Saturday, March 16, 2013

Indian-Economy is Stagflating...



Article;

Indian Economy not Facing Stagflation, Growth is Picking-Up -RaghuramRajan


Comment;

Indian economy is stagflating… What is stagflation? Low growth rate and high inflation. India’s growth performance has been low than its previous performances, before 2012. India was growing 9% but now the growth rate is 5%, since past one year. India’s growth performance is good when we compare India with the West but low when compared to China and India’s previous performances. Basically it is low growth rate given India’s population and poverty. Moreover, as far as inflation is concerned it is also pointing in the same direction, stagflation. Inflation in India is 7% (WPI) and CPI above 10%. When we compare India’s inflation with other countries we find that others have chosen 2% inflation for themselves, in the west, and, complete price stability in China. Inflation in China is 3%. No matter what target we set for ourselves but theoretically we need complete price stability if we are not trying to break recession. India’s inflation is high. Therefore, on both fronts, growth rate and inflation, the present situation suggests a stagflation type scenario.


As far as sticky inflation is concerned CPI is around 10% since 2004…

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