Article;
Cheap money party over analysts warn as fears rise of asset-bubbles.
Comment;
Bubbles in the developed countries... no, because inflation
is too low. What a bubble when it did not stoke inflation? A bubble is created
when there is a divergence between real prices and nominal prices. In this
scene if nominal prices do not rise that means a rise in real prices of assets
(investment) and income... its healthy sign that the economy is picking up it
will create demand and will create inflation. But, if people expect a deflation
they would post-pone their spending. Japan’s experience may reinforce
the people’s expectation of a price-fall. But, the central banks are trying to
replace that expectation with a price-rise expectation by engaging in loose
monetary polices and inflation targeting. But, as long as inflation remains
stagnant it means demand has not outpaced supply… general price-level rise when
demand exceeds supply. The best way to increase demand and inflation is to
increase income. This means we have to wait for recovery, until, incomes go
up... But, incomes rise slowly during recession… the process of recovery will
be slow… If we can directly increase incomes it will hasten the recovery.
Therefore, as far, income and inflation remains low we can not expect a bubble
in the developed world. Nevertheless, the expectation of a bubble in the
emerging world is not a far possibility. The flood of liquidity by the
developed countries’ central banks has stoked inflation in the emerging market and
may have a created bubble. Especially, INDIA
and China,
and, our WORLD is much more connected now…
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