There has been a stable
relationship between domestic currency depreciation and exports all over the
world. Every time countries in the developed world are stuck in low growth
period they try to give the growth a push by increasing money supply and
depreciation. Even in INDIA
the recent (2013) depreciation of the Indian currency to 68 pushed exports to
13%. Importers generally follow Nominal–Effective-Exchange-Rate to demand more
for exports. The central bank tries to maintain NEER close to its REER or a little
depreciated to increases demand for exports. But, it is not possible if the
external conditions are not favorable. It is also constantly not possible
because countries start complaining about trade deficit as with the US and China . China made its exports competitive
by using a loose monetary policy, (but, now tightening)… NEER has a large value
of inflation which is likely to go down with a consistent and credible monetary
policy and REER will go up... The central bank wants to build a good foreign
exchange reserve and it should also be done with a view to make exports
competitive. Therefore, if our trading partners do not oppose, then the central
bank must seize the opportunity to build reserves. Every-time the central bank
will buy dollars it will depreciate the currency but more dollars will reduce
our demand and Indian currency will start appreciating. And, all the central has
to do is to push the Indian currency back to last depreciation every-time it
reaches the REER…
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