Recently, the US economy climbed to a decade high rate
of growth of 5% which has reinforced the expectation that the recovery, that
began 5 years ago, has now reached a level where we can steer the economy at a
high-speed in order to achieve the goals the policy-makers have set for
themselves and have borrowed heavily from the future, actually the debt will be
paid by the next-generation... Nevertheless, debt (i think) should not be
rolled-over to the Gen-X because that will be a burden on their resources... Atleast,
this looks rational... Why somebody would pay for your excesses? At first glance
it does not look wise... Any ways, all – savings, investment &
interest-rates – have a high effect on the growth-rate... Low interest-rate has
a good-effect on growth-rate, unless we are in liquidity-trap... A commitment to
keep interest-rate low for a long-time should be good for investment and
growth-rate, unless.... The Fed decision to increase key rates somewhere in the
middle of 2015 should be based on the investment figures (rate of change)...
what a central-bank normally does... It takes gauge of inflation and the rate
of investment to decide for a rate-hike... And, sometimes when investment (read
also employment) is low the bank may decide to tolerate high inflation... This is
what the Fed intended to do since Recession-2008... But... (there is a big-one)...
why the Fed is not taking in to account
the rate of change in savings and investment, and try to equate them with the
US’ potential growth-rate, the rate of change in population, near 10% (decadal)...
To achieve this potential growth-rate the US-economy must grow 10%
every-year... Therefore, savings and investment must also grow 10%
every-year... This is too early to even think of a rate-hike... The economy is
just growing half of its long-run potential...
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
"TRY TO CARVE OUT A DEAL, YOUR PURPOSE, AND NOT TERROR, LOWER TARIFFS WOULD INCREASE TRADE AND INCOMES..... GLOBALLY..."
INDIA's now is the biggest as per the human resources and is rival to China and part of China plus 1 policy and more open and a de...
-
Speculators bet on market behavior in order to gain from an investment though everybody is speculating on one thing or the other and largely...
-
Growth is sacrificed when the value of the money is sacrificed because spending goes down due to inflation, and people buy less due to high ...
-
An education system should be such that you are valuable to your country and the world which actually depends upon the perception o...
No comments:
Post a Comment