Indian government has planned to bring 30 year bonds
at much higher-rates than the rest of the world... Bonds are frequently traded
by the central-banks and commercial-banks to change short-run interest-rates,
as the Federal Reserve of the US was buying-in bonds to increase liquidity or
money-supply that reduces (relative) investment demand and reduce interest-rate,
when either demand is down or supply is up interest-rate goes down... More
money-supply increases the ability of commercial banks to lend more and they
try to cash the scale.... Nevertheless, bond interest-rate and bond prices are
inversely related... Bonds may look long-term, but it is bought or sold
frequently in the market... When you sell bonds they fetch you money,
calculated as per interest-yields and bond-prices, too... Bond-prices and
interest-rate also change with inflation and expectations... Banks are smarter
than ordinary people to invest in bonds in big amounts... It is more popular
among banks than the ordinary public because its value is more protected by
inflation and price-rise, because when interest-rate on bonds goes down
bond-price goes up and when interest-rate goes up bonds prices go down which
compensates to the loss in the value of investment due to inflation... One of
them will increase... Even when bond-interest is zero bond-prices may
increase... And, this may sound good to an intelligent investor like banks than
to the common people... But, as we have seen above, bonds are traded by
central-banks to change short-run rates and thus bond prices... It is true that
bonds are profitable investment, but no one actually knows what long-run rate
and prices will be, because you may be enticed to sell it early than you expect,
either bond interest-rate will help or prices... In the developed-world
interest-rates have gone down in the long-run and bonds are trading very low...
When you once surrender bonds you lose your long-run claim and it may not be
available in the market again... It may look long-run, but we have to go
through short-runs and, changes in expectations and condition of the economy...
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