The negative interest rate adopted by some of the
World’s developed countries’ central-banks has started a new discussion among
analysts and economists as what would be the interest-rate trajectory for the
economies reeling under recession, several rounds, when they have cut down
nominal-interest-rate below zero in an attempt to boost consumption and
investment spending to increase demand and growth keeping inflation and
unemployment low. It is true that several important central-banks of the
developed-world has cut down nominal-interest-rate below zero and are receiving
money from deposits opposite of the usual practice of paying interest rate for
their deposits which is primarily intended to boost consumption instead of
savings during recession. But, these banks have missed to reconcile consumption
and investment, both. They are trying to increase consumption by
dis-incentivizing savings, but, have made no effort to increase investment by
also reducing the borrowing cost in the negative which means banks should
literally pay for new loans, means interest-rate payment for availing loans
when they are getting money from deposits. The banks are now earning from
deposits, but they must also try to increase loan demand by incentivizing
through interest-payment, and that’s what negative interest rate should do in
order to increase employment, demand and growth. Only then negative interest
would make a complete sense to increase economic-activity because the
Capitalist must also be incentivized to increase employment through more
investment when the households are encouraged for more consumption. However, if
the banks manage to increase consumption without investment that would create
inflation and unemployment, in the place of deflation and unemployment, which
is again an awkward position from the view-point of stability. Nonetheless, the
objective of the monetary-policy and interest-rate management is to shoot for
the natural interest rate at which the economy is on full-employment and there
is neither inflation nor deflation.
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