Saturday, January 28, 2017

Lower Prices Are Good For Equality...






Equality or inequality has had been the underlying objective of the redistribution of natural-resources or endowments within the society or economy, has had been the subject-matter for Political-Economy or Economics since inception which endorses returns or incomes according to the productivity or marginal-product i.e. contribution to produce another unit of a good or a service. Economists presuppose that any activity should increase supply and demand, both, in order to justify investment or spending to keep the economy going or to achieve higher economic-growth keeping the price-level or inflation and unemployment stable since higher inflation or too much lower unemployment would increase scarcity and the cost of factors of production, like labour and capital i.e. wages and interest-rate, and would make the economy uncompetitive. However, there is also a parallel or counter view that inflation also reduces real-wages and real interest-rate; therefore it lowers cost of production and increases competitiveness of firms and the economy. However, if take a close look we might derive that lower real-wages and interest-rate would lower demand and savings in the economy which might diverge the economy from its long-run-equilibrium-path. On the other hand lower inflation or disinflation or slow or controlled deflation might increase real-wages and demand, and, real-interest rate and savings and lower nominal interest rate on investment. Higher real returns on savings or capital is likely to induce further investment by lowering nominal interest rate, probably zero, lower inflation may increase real interest rate if nominal interest rate is constant or reduce nominal interest rate when real-rate is constant, it is expansionary both ways, higher real rate would increase savings and lower nominal rates could increase investment, lower prices would help real interest rate and savings and lower nominal  interest rate would help increase investment. On the contrary, higher inflation could reduce real interest rate and savings and investment and the economic-growth rate. To conclude we may say that higher prices though increase nominal variables like GDP or interest rate or wages, but also reduce real GDP or interest rate or wages or economic growth and is contractionary in terms or demand and supply, but lower prices might lower nominal variables, but increase real variables and economic growth and is thus expansionary. Moreover, higher inflation could stoke bubble fears which might add to instability because the gap between nominal and real prices of assets increase with inflation only to find later that there has been an oversupply due to higher prices without matching demand which might result in price correction, lower economic activity and higher unemployment. Lower-prices or stability is important to avoid wild swings in the economy and achieve full-employment. Notwithstanding, when the price-level is biased lower it increases real-wages, incomes and profits too and when it is inclined higher the society or economy loses their values, lower prices are important to increase spending, consumption and investment, both, and increase government spending, too, when there is scope to increase productivity while containing or lowering cost and prices and increase competitiveness, and, increase supply and demand and per-capita-income to reduce inequality and increase the standard of living of the less privileged. When we try to cut costs by inflation we unconsciously cut demand and supply by cutting real-wages and increasing nominal interest-rate, respectively. Therefore, we might say that the economic-policies that increase inflation and inflation expectations are the second best to the ones which lower inflation and inflation expectations because it increases demand when the population rate of growth is slowing in many parts of the World and might also lower interest rate and interest rate expectations thereby increasing supply, too… Probably, the statement that lower prices are more expansionary… is right…                

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