The discussion among the analysts and economists on
the rationale of the Universal-Basic-Income (UBI) in INDIA has yielded momentum
as the present government’s revenue has shot-up after demonetization and there
is a demand to transfer a minimum amount in poor people’s account in order to
re-distribute the society’s resources which could spook public-debt resulting
in higher taxes and interest rate, later, for future-generation. However, the
economists deter too much borrowing, but someone with a liberal perspective
would tell you that more money in poor-pockets would increase their welfare
when there is no restriction of the gold-standard and the central banks can
print more money keeping prices and unemployment stable. Nonetheless, money
from monetary-policy and money from fiscal policy might work differently
because higher money supply by the central-bank would lower interest-rate and
increase employment or demand and supply or investment up to full-employment,
but more money from fiscal-policy would diverge capital and labour from their
optimum uses as per the market allocation than to increase public-goods and
services, that has been the bone of contention among the economists of
different schools, especially between the neo-Classicals or freshwater
economists and neo-Keynesians or saltwater economists. The former camp favors
the market-mechanism to restore deviations from full-employment, but Keynesians
support government intervention during high-unemployment, they advocate use of
fiscal-policy during slowdown. The idea of UBI gained higher clamor after the
recession 2008 when the western or developed economies were stuck in higher
unemployment and low demand. The unemployment benefits or jobless claims and
social-security in countries like the US supported consumption from slumping
too low, they acted as cushions to the falling demand due to sub-prime crisis,
housing-bubble-burst and unemployment. Unemployment-benefits and UBI are more
or less same as far as their effect on demand and the use of fiscal-policy is
concerned, they increase effective-demand in the economy, nevertheless,
economists like Barro oppose high-public-debt and Keynes also advised
fiscal-policy during slowdowns because higher public-debt might constrain the
economy’s budget during high unemployment. Notwithstanding, public-spending on
increasing productivity might have a positive effect on the economy than merely
increasing demand because higher productivity could reduce prices by increasing
supply and higher wages would also increase demand, but higher demand after full-employment and limited supply would
increase inflation or prices and interest rate. INDIA is still recovering from
the previous slowdown and effects post-demonetization, read lower demand, which
might require government spending to increase productivity and wages when
inflation and growth projections or expectations are biased lower.
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