Research
and Policy Implications
The present study has
mainly concentrated on the Chinese economic policies which have gathered China
a growth momentum for thirty long years above the global average and its effect
on distribution and inequality within the economy and out. The economic growth
leaves traces on distribution of wealth and income inequalities to derive
conclusions and develop framework for further policy research and
implementation. The economists often criticize China for its policy of external
devaluation or depreciation which increases exports at the cost of domestic
real wages and demand and growth and imports too. Moreover, the debt fueled
growth and a higher current account surplus that is increasing trade balance in
the global economy and with trading partners also raise important questions the
way global inequality has been affected through low employment and low demand
and growth globally. Lose money supply and depreciation have also increased
fears of the housing bubble in the economy. It raises object in the way Chinese
economy is gaining competitiveness in global trade. The cheap Chinese goods, no
doubt, increase real wages, but reduce employment in the domestic economy so
the question of real wages does not arise, therefore cheap goods and dumping
are not received in the right way for domestic growth, and it hurts domestic
employment and growth. On the other hand, if China uses internal devaluation
means higher real exchange (nominal exchange rate minus inflation) by making
the internal price-level competitive through reforms and increasing
productivity, through all the possible measures like more investment in
education and innovation. It is well behind the developed countries like the US.
We could easily find clues about how and what the economic policies should be
used to increase both, domestic and global demand and growth
Limitations
of the Study and Scope of Further Research
The limitations of the
study include poor spending on education, innovation and growth in productivity
which might deter the economy from increasing competitiveness, lower cost and
prices to increase demand and growth, domestically and globally. Unless China
increases domestic demand and also help increase demand abroad by increasing
real wages, the growth of exports alone might not achieve the growth rate it
saw during the last three decades. Nonetheless, there is a further scope of
research in the factors that help achieve productivity and competitiveness in
the long-run. So far China has relied on higher nominal exchange to increase
exports demand which has been criticized by many to achieve competitiveness,
but in the long-run a higher real exchange rate achieved through increasing
domestic productivity might also help gain competitiveness. Lower domestic real
wages and less employment and demand abroad may itself put brakes on Chinese
expansion, which it should definitely try not to happen and should explore
other options to increase demand and growth. Chinese authoritarian style of
operation could derail its ambitions which might be replaced with a more
democratic and market based economy. There is a scope for research to help
rebalance the economy from an export and investment driven economy to a
consumption driven model that has also scope for imports and higher demand and
growth in the trading partners economy, too.
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