The subsidy for fertilizers should be changed for buying cattle
and fodder which could be a long term solution for productivity of the soil,
they would reproduce... cow dung for manure, they would give milk, too, to
supplement farm incomes... Cattle breeding should be promoted...
The problem is more with the higher prices in other sectors
which has flourished on cheap food prices and lowering borrowing cost, at the
cost of farm incomes, which has depressed real incomes and share in the agriculture...
The question is who will invest in a overegulated market where the government
is the chief buyer which then distributes it itself... It is in the interest of
the farmers to sell directly to the buyers through farmers unions or cartels...
why the oil is dear and food is cheap... because the government is unable to
control too much high supply which could be adjusted to keep prices high or
more volatile to accommodate farm incomes when demand is too high... farmers
are not benefited by higher demand, though... Farmers union should be obilized
to bargain in the market to the suppliers... not to the government...
At their cost...
Food should be tax free... it is directly related to health...
do not tax health...
Lower farm share in the national income... points to an
overegulated market, but inflation goes out... free market to export at higher
prices and import at lower prices...
On the job training... do your own (work) ? Subsidize skills and
training...
Jobs are important... to lower unemployment... increase growth
efficiency... the effective growth...
A lot of subsidies are given to the political power... what
'bout that...?
The Monetary Policy should target lower inflation by lowering
the borrowing cost or nominal interest rate and higher real interest rate and
savings... Other things remaining constant lower capital cost would increase
productivity and competitiveness... lowering the price level... it would (also)
increase supply to lower inflation...
When businesses could earn higher in safe bank deposits... they
would not invest...
Who will take risk?
Probably, the real effective exchange rate (REER) for rupee and
dollar is 21.33 rupees...
Because,
REER = the ratio of domestic and foreign
exchange rate / the ratio of domestic and the foreign inflation or price
level...
therefore,
nominal exchange rate INDIA-US is 64/1 or 64 :
1
inflation in INDIA is 6%,
in the US is 2%
inflation in INDIA is 6%,
in the US is 2%
again, therefore,
we have 64/3 after simplification,
and, on further simplification it comes at
21. 33...
The nominal value converges to the real
effective value in the future, because of inflation, nominal inflation would
converge between countries too...
It .(gold). is because it increases CAD during slowdown... it is
has had been considered a safe heaven investment during recessions and low
demand... Nonetheless, there are gold bonds which give higher inflation adjusted
returns... One could invest in literally anything which is going through a
lower price period and has expectations of higher price expectations in the
future if you hold the stock...
Investment hedging or investment insurance could (true) reduce
risks for the RBI and other banks... Would reduce NPAs in the future...
Exchange rate adjustments could also be achieved by higher real
effective wages and higher real effective interest rates, higher consumption,
higher savings, lower nominal interest rate and higher investment), due to
lower domestic price level through increase in productivity and
competitiveness. (Internal Devaluation). Real wages and domestic demand should
be contained or increased, and at the same time real exchange rate could
increase export demand...
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