If we could
susidise during high prices or increase supply, it would help contain wage cost
and interest cost means more competitiveness.... it could also help earn
profits unless the market overexpects... knife edge or the problem of over
expectation... is also experienced in the stock market... Over supply and over
demand are frequent when stock prices touch short term lowest or when the
company wants to borrow more at lower prices after the quarterly data, it
supplies more shares and demand increases because of consistent performance and
higher expectations, too... And, when demand for shares increases it increases
stock prices, above and more than the high price of the day... bigger gap
between daily higher price and low price target means it is time to buy...
higher daily prices increases higher daily target...
But, buy a credible and consistent stock with higher expectations….
People in share
market, mainly, invest over less than 3 months horizon... when quarterly
results come... However, there could be other styles of investing, but it is
profitable to buy a share at lower prices and sell high, and, could again buy
more when prices fall more than 10%, of the same consistent shares with higher
price expectations... Tax on LTCG won’t affect day trading and people investing
for less than a year.........,
By tightening, the
central banks forget, that they are tightening credit and supply and also lower
demand, to lower growth and expectations... which would increase inflation
through higher borrowing cost, afterall... The normal argument given in its
favour that it would reduce employment and demand which is also contradictory
because during high inflation you need higher wages to keep inflation adjusted
wages, intact... But, higher interest rate reduces investment, increases unemployment,
and reduces production and supply which increases prices and decreases real
wages buildup and that would hurt the real economy or employment and demand and
growth and expectations... And, that also makes the economy lose supply and
employment (which means demand) too... How reducing supply could help during
high inflation? Nonetheless, it could help increase unemployment and reduce
labour bargaining power and reduce wage demand which might lower price level...
But, think of a situation where unemployment increases, leading to lower
demand, and then supply also goes down, which means first prices would go down
and then it would increase due to lower supply, making no real difference in
the economic variables and parameters... they would first fall and then
increase… would it make any difference in the economic handling… it would make
no results… actually……..,
Paul Krugman always
says that debt in own currency is not that much risk (for which the central
banks could increase real money supply or higher inflation adjusted money
supply) for demand and growth and expectations......
Fiscal slippage
requires lower interest cost payment... Higher oil prices also need higher
investment at lower borrowing cost... There is no matter in the
argument........,
OTHERTHINGS REMAINING
CONSTANT.... LOWER BORROWING COST WOULD REDUCE COST INFLATION AND INFLATION
EXPECTATIONS LEADING TO HIGHER SPENDING, SUPPLY AND DEMAND, BOTH.... MOREOVER,
CONSUMPTION, DUE TO LOWER PRICES AND HIGHER, REAL WAGES AND EXPECTATIONS AND SAVINGS,
DUE TO THE SAME HIGHER REAL WAGES [ AND EXPECTATIONS] AND HIGHER REAL INTEREST
RATE AND EXPECTATIONS AND LOWER NOMINAL INTEREST RATES AND EXPECTATIONS WHICH
MAY INCREASE INVESTMENT AND EMPLOYMENT AND GROWTH, AND EXPECTATIONS... AND, VICE
VERSA... MOREOVER, HIGHER DOMESTIC COMMODITY-CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE AND
EXPECTATIONS WOULD ALSO INCREASE IMPORTS/EXPORTS AND EXPECTATIONS LEADING TO
HIGHER DOMESTIC AND EXTERNAL INVESTMENT EMPLOYMENT AND GROWTH AND
EXPECTATIONS... HIGHER VALUE FOR MONEY OR LOWER INFLATION OR PRICES AND FULL
EMPLOYMENT WOULD LEAD TO HIGHER REAL WAGES/INCOMES/SALARIES AND PROFITS... AND
FURTHER TO MORE SPENDING AND GROWTH AND EXPECTATIONS.........,
The US economy has
already has a real wages and productivity gap since 1970s... then what is the
use of new productivity and demand... How would you fill the gap... who
will...?
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