Article;
Limping economy to pick up pace soon -finance minister.
Comment;
As soon as the
food-inflation comes down with the implementation of the Food-Security-Bill we
will have more room for aggressive monetary easing. We are worried about
foreign inflows even when our interest rates are high due to elevated
inflation... There are three major sources of liquidity, liquidity from
monetary policy, liquidity from fiscal policy and liquidity from foreign
sources. We although pursued a tight monetary policy but we never disallowed
investment from the other two sources… We were worried about drying-up of
foreign sources because we can not reduce interest rates at home because of
high inflation. Nevertheless the CAD was a concern… we needed to improve our
foreign exchange reserves for a good rating… Therefore, liquidity can come from
any or all of the three major sources. Therefore, again, we need not to worry
about foreign currency outflows because when capital will leave your shores
that would also bring inflation down and we have a room for loose monetary
policy at home. QE is an unconventional monetary policy which is poised to go
down one day; if QE dries-up we can easily cut-back on interest rates and
improve liquidity to the economy but only when the Food-Security-Bill is
implemented and inflation comes down close to our target. Demand for cereals
has a considerable weight in the CPI and the government has enough stock of
food…
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