Indian economy is not demand constrained, it is supply
constrained. There is absolutely no doubt about the growth potential... the
doubt is about when... when we would be able to reduce the interest rates...
And, that will happen when inflation comes down to our target (5%)... The
government should aim at removing supply side bottle necks and the RBI should
take care of the finances by reducing interest rates... The stock market in INDIA is very
responsive, it is responding on all the relevant information. It is active...
We in INDIA
have subdued the demand pressure by not reducing interest rates... Industry is
waiting for rate-cuts so that they can resume (investment) spending... But
after the September rate hike the Industry is worried about another such action
from the RBI considering high inflation (food and fuel)… It is also expected
because lower prices is a relief for all, especially food and oil prices, and
when we lower prices by increasing interest rates it is also good for
investment… our savings and yield on savings increase… we become richer… Therefore,
it is in the interest of the economy to lower prices by increasing interest
rates… An inflation rate of (above) 10%
is enough for invoking monetary policy action… We can easily expect another rate
hike in the October review. We in INDIA are over-employed we are
working longer hours and are paid less than our developed country counterparts.
“INDIA IS OVER-EMPLOYED” not unemployed. Unemployment is not a problem
therefore we need to look at inflation…
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