Article;
RBI may hike interest rate this week MSF rate cut likely.
Comment;
There is a disagreement among the economists about
what decides “the right” level of interest rate in an economy? Is it inflation
or unemployment, or both? We need higher interest rates to tame inflation and
achieve full-employment… Full employment means maximum production of goods and
services… Which together becomes the objective of price-stability and
full-employment and the RBI has key rates to manage these two. If inflation is
above the target we need to increase interest rates to fulfill the
price-stability objective and if there unemployment in the economy we need to
reduce interest rates, and, if there is full employment and inflation (like
INDIA) we need to increase interest rate because it is only increasing the
quantity of money and not employment. It is an effort-waste to pump money
because it does not reduce real interest rates so that we can buy more (cheap)
labor to increase production, there is full-employment… It will only increase
wage, demand, and prices… And, if the RBI increases interest rates it will it
divert resources for savings and investment. An attractive rate of interest is
important to lure savings and investment… If lending growth rate is higher
there will be an upward pressure on interest rates to attract savings, people
will spend less and save more and employment and production will suffer, prices
will fall. Interest-rate hike should be attractive enough to attract savings
and strong, too, to reduce some investment and employment…
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