Saturday, November 16, 2013

Let people save...


Article;
INDIA and the slowing economy Chidambaram squares-off RBI again.

Comment;
If people want to save more we should not try to manipulate them... A higher level of savings would exert a downward pressure on interest rate because supply (of capital) will increase... Good for investment... But investment spending is a bit different... A Capitalist always compares his return on savings in banks and the return from investment and invests only when the return is higher than his savings in banks... Therefore a low rate of interest will encourage the Capitalist to take risk... Higher interest rate in this period will increase savings in this period and will lower interest in the next-period… INDIA is going through the first stage, inflation is high therefore we need higher interest rate so that people consume less and save more… In the next stage, when inflation is down due to higher interest rate in the previous period the central bank would lower interest rate and Capitalist will find investment more profitable… Higher savings in this period will always lower interest rate in the next period but the only problem is high inflation… To restrict demand and inflation we need higher interest rates… Higher interest rate on savings will discourage investment spending, as already said above and also because high interest rate itself, but savings would get benefit of higher interest rates… The central bank should make investment a little unprofitable when compared to savings in banks and by doing that it can target inflation a little better… i think a 10% increase in growth, income and inflation would be compatible with 10% interest on savings in banks…

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