Article;
Sensex, America and elections its three to tango.
Comment;
This time it (QE taper) looks real because at one occasion according to a FED official probably the whole QE program is misdirected and even harmful...
Moreover asset price inflation and another-bubble fear could be the probable
cause of sooner than expected QE tapering. But at another occasion Bernake said that interest rates will remain low ever after the end of the QE program
until unemployment rate drops to 6.5 %. I think Bernake is going to surprise us
this time before he leaves. We need to look carefully in to the words
"misdirected and even harmful"… i think the FED is going to accept its
policy mistake… because of its wasteful effort to reinforce higher inflation
expectations to come out of liquidity-trap... It may be wrong to take the
economy in the wrong direction when the economy should go for an internal
devaluation which means a lower level of wages and income to achieve
full-employment but the economy would generate demand by lowering prices but we
have evidences of downward wage rigidity which may prove useful because prices
will fall more than wages and that would mean a gain in terms of real-wages…
However Keynes said the same thing for prices downward rigidity… But we have
evidence of persistent deflation in economies like Japan… The FED too said it was
expecting a deflation and is fighting deflation. So, downward price-rigidity is
not supported by the evidences. Wrong policy moves…
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