RBI
last time reduced key-rates on a off date which was also a signal that it has
made up his mind to pass on over the effect of low oil and low transport cost
to the price structure of G&S... The government has also contributed towards
low prices through fiscal consolidation commitments... Both have worked-out to take
the economy to the next level... Even though the government has done little to
the revenue side but by targeting its spending better through cash transfer has
reduced the cost of public-distribution... Both, the RBI and the GoI was determined
to bring inflation down... For instance the rationale behind a different base-year
is yet remain unexplained that what did the country achieve from just a mathematical-manipulation? Both have worked a lot to reduce inflation
and improve the supply side... In a country like INDIA 10%
inflation is consistent with 10% growth rate... It is a supply-constrained
economy... but income must also grow more than inflation to contain the purchasing
power and demand, actually full-employment... So definitely, probably the case
for a rate is high due to advocates of a low interest rate regime... Inflation
definitely again is not a problem if real wages increase, or at least remain
constant... That would also contain the negative effect on demand and growth...
Demand is actually the money... more money-supply increases the volume of money
in hand... The GoI advisors also
underscore investment in infrastructure... to remove one of the major road
block to investment, because without affordable transport products will find it
difficult to create demand... We are restricted to the urban areas, but with a 60%
population residing in the rural areas, need retailing facilities... Centre of
development nearby villages should be promoted to create job opportunities for
youth... We are inviting so much of capital investment but if our supply side
does not improve especially food... it will result in inflation and high
interest rates too soon... between periods of short trade-cycles... more cycles
relative to peers... too much frequent changes in expectations... Supply-side
will keep the INDIAN growth-rate volatile... too much fluctuations... If we
import good food it will have a positive effect on human-capital... Low
interest rates are a good opportunity to invest in food...
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