Europe is almost on the verge of using the
unconventional method the Fed (US’ central-bank) used to increase income and
demand, but Germany is objecting for its own reasons... Germany’s way of increasing
exports is different from the regular practice... currency depreciation... also
because it is unavailable... It is member of the European Union and uses the
Euro to increase the German living-standard... Yet, it has carved a way-out to
give its exports a thrust... Internal devaluation, opposite of the
external-devaluation... When there is more money-supply, there is more
inflation and more depreciation... It depreciates the home currency which
people buy with their own currencies... they can buy more local-currency and
demand more local products... prices fall
relative to the quantity of money... they get cheaper... But, prices can also
fall when money-supply and exchange –rate remain constant with a consistent
policy regime... called internal-devaluation... Germany have cut-down on wages and prices...
which made its exports competitive... Germany has a trade surplus...
Nevertheless, QE means more supply and inflation which the Germans object...
But, i think that fear is baseless because even if we go through the evidences
the US present, even after so much of the QE, inflation barely reached 2%, even
Japan is a very good example... when bank-deposits and currency notes become substitutes
at the Zero-Lower-Bound (liquidity-trap)... Europe is close to that area... It
is hard to achieve inflation because people expect lower-prices during a
slowdown and any stimulus would make them expect that prices will fall because
of more production and already unsold inventories... It will keep on
reinforcing lower price expectation... when people are already feeling low
inflation... The old quantity theory of money is no longer valid in the case of
developed-world, far from supply-side constraints... Germany should not worry
QE, inflation would not rise and ultimately when QE is over, all the other
members will recover by letting the prices go down... the German way... If
everybody can pursue depreciation to come out of depression, after the end of
the Gold-standard, and were successful, why they all cannot practice
internal-devaluation... Because it is no longer between Germany, France, Italy...
It is now between the Euro-area and rest
of the World, the competitors are changed... I’am sure when everybody will try
to cut wages and prices as per the needs there still must remain minor differences
in price and wages across the Union... They even exist within any industry
(differences...)... The Euro-area is a big cartel (now)... But, in a democratic
world people are more powerful... And,
in Economics Perfect-Competition is the ideal market which maximizes welfare “of
the people”... People consume more, save more and the economy invests more...
But, hardly observable anywhere... Perfect-Competition also means highest
possible competition... In any market price competition is the father of all
competitions... And, German’s have learnt it right... There is actually no reason
to think the paper currency as scarce when the Central bank can print them to
reduce unemployment and misery... But, Germans have mastered the art of increasing
real money-supply and real wages and income, means lower-prices... QE will
actually help Germany... It will increase its people's income through
increased money-supply in the Euro-area...
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