It would not be an overstatement that in the recent
times foreign-exchange-rate policy is centered around exports, employment and growth.
The pattern is present everywhere... US, Europe, Japan, China... Even the
Make-in-INDIA initiative of the present government is a step in giving Indian
export sector a push. INDIA’s export sector, especially manufacturing, is
largely underdeveloped and there is a scope for employment generation with
relatively low wages. The country so far has concentrated on domestic-demand
for growth but now with greater emphasis on manufacturing and exports INDIA is
likely to out-pace cooling China which is going through a slow down much like
the Japanese and the US style, a deflationary bias in the economy... However, INDIA
with a sound policy, even in the exchange-rate... a little depreciated Rupee to give export and
employment a chance... can take advantage of both the positions... An investment
inflow and hardening rupee and investment outflow and depreciation...
Increasing foreign-exchange reserves during inflows and hardening will help us
weather too much depreciation during outflow and costlier imports and also increase our competiveness...
Moreover outflow and depreciation will, again, increase export competitiveness. We should use our foreign-exchange rate policy for more productive employment
and growth, it would be helpful as far as demand and growth (external and
domestic) is concerned... The investment-cycle in INDIA too is soon to kick-in
with interest-rate reduction... Good for exports... Depreciation and low
interest-cost...
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