In the long-run, all the countries are trying
to increase their per capita income and living-standard according to the
increase in productivity while maintaining their competitiveness with
innovations because labour is relatively scarcer which might restrict the
economy’s capacity absorb capital without increasing wages and the general
price-level, as found in the general quantity theory of money... But, now there
is also a special quantity theory of money observed in the developed countries
that is not expected under the general conditions. In a major part of the
developed world loose monetary policy has failed to increase prices as expected
because demand might not increase due to excess of labour supply which may put
a downward pressure on the wages and prices when interest rate or cost are also
close to the zero lower bound. More money-supply has reduced the cost of
capital with low wages increasing supply despite of low demand which has
lowered the general price-level and interest rates pushing the economy at the
zero lower bound or liquidity-trap for a longer period. At the zero lower bound
cash hoarding increases, not necessarily in banks, because the value of money
goes up in the face of lower prices, moreover everybody expects higher
inflation in the future because it is the our basic observation that prices
increase with time and the will to hold unlimited money also increase savings.
The zero lower bound also trims the possibility of increasing investment and
employment by reducing the borrowing cost or nominal interest rate, but the
central banks are trying to reduce real interest rate and wages with inflation
to incentivize the supply-side and profits which would also increase the
relative international competitiveness to survive in the market-place. The
central banks consciously or unconsciously are favouring the capitalist to
reduce unemployment. Nonetheless, when real wages are going down demand too is
likely to remain subdued resulting in lower growth rate... The “long-run” to me exists all the time,
which is the truth; it exists always, not subject to short-termism, what
everybody does under the similar conditions. The difference between general and
partial...
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