The Competitiveness of
an economy and its industries is increased either by cutting costs or by
increasing productivity, higher production might help reap the economies of
scale by reducing prices and increase demand and sell more and also earn
interest income. There are three main things that determine the competitiveness
of the domestic economy and the exports and they are the wages, the interest
rate and the exchange rate, wages and interest rate are the two main input
costs, besides other inputs, that determine the cost and price for the people
and thereby competitiveness and demand in the face of peers or competitors to
increase market share, domestic and external. Notwithstanding, if we go further
we find that it is the real wages, the real interest rate and the real exchange
rate which are important because of inflation. A lower inflation would increase
them and a higher inflation would lower them, we know that higher inflation
would lower demand by reducing the real wages, real interest rate and real
exchange rate and a lower inflation would increase demand and growth because
consumption and investment spending and exports would increase. However, the
supply side weaknesses are often responsible for high inflation, apart from
full-employment because supply could not be increased, but innovation, skills
and technology may help increase productivity or production at lower cost.
According to Solow, any technology is positive if it cut costs and/or lower
prices and increase production. In a nut
shell, lower prices increase competitiveness, demand and the economic-growth
rate because it also reduces nominal interest rate and demand for higher wages,
a lower nominal interest rate would also reduce borrowing cost and increase
supply and lower prices. Nonetheless, demand for foreign exchange might become
a problem if the economy imports more than what it produces to consume, which
might retard domestic investment due to increased foreign competition. And, when
foreign competition comes in it makes the real effective wage rate, the real
effective interest rate and the real effective exchange rate important from the
point of view of competition i.e. the ratio of nominal wages/interest
rate/exchange rate of the domestic country and the foreign country divided by
the ratio of prices or inflation in the domestic economy and the external
economy, when the real effective wages increase and real effective interest
rate and real effective exchange rate in the domestic economy go up because
of lower inflation and nominal rates at home it increases the competitiveness
of the domestic economy vis-a-vis the external economy which increases demand
and growth. The higher real effective wages would increase demand for both, the
domestic demand and imports and exports would also increase because of higher exchange
rate and a lower nominal interest rate could also increase investment demand,
all because of lower inflation or prices. Lower prices because of the lower
borrowing cost could do much to increase competitiveness, demand and growth, it
would also restrict wage demand, and people would consume more and save more
and the economy would investment more. Both, Keynes and Milton Friedman have
seen lower interest rate as the optimal monetary-policy, but the former had
assumed sticky prices and positive nominal interest rate and the latter has
viewed prices as flexible and, possibly, zero real interest rate as the right
monetary-policy. Keynes assumption about prices as sticky is not evident in the
real world as prices or inflation have gone down as a result of expansion in
money-supply and lower interest rate, close to Friedman’s optimal
monetary-policy, nonetheless he (Keynes) also viewed nominal interest rate to
be zero or euthanasia of the renter of capital as a probable outcome of printing
money in the long-run.
*In International-Trade
paradigm increase in the exchange rate is depreciation and decrease is
appreciation.
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