Tuesday, December 29, 2009

FUTURE OF ECONOMICS ?





In times of recession the majority is suffering from imbalances in the ECO-NO-MIC sphere and tries to strike a balance, which is the sole objective of ECONOMICS. It is not a problem for those who have saved enough to survive the bad times, but, not everybody has time and capacity (savings) to deal with the situation. Money is a power of imagination with the only plausible purpose of facilitating "an exchange to take care of those who depend on us". And, as we all know we do not consume money rather we consume "real goods and services". History shows that money has severely failed to meet the demands of those who never have/had it, and, has even created a ruffle for those for those who have. So, mainly the chaos/disturbances/imbalances are coming from the monetary-mind—past, present and future—and is now controlling the mind itself, instead of fulfilling its ultimate purpose. But, this is not to conclude, for time's sake, that the whole monetary structure is flawed, which can be a gift/present in disguise to help those who need you most (poorest).



The plan is to operate in the whole market through Human-Resource development and management and, then, to set-up the organization’s own market with the profits to reduce the cost of raising living-standard of the population which is the goal of Economics. Market is mainly concentrating on those who are capable enough of income, consumption, saving and investment, simultaneously, which is around 30% of the population. The rest 70% is surviving on Rs 100 a day which is insufficient for a "good-life" and there is a huge gap between their demands and supply. By nature, market is stable/un-stable depending upon the demand-supply conditions. Actually, demand is the purchasing- power in the hands of the one who is demanding the supply of goods in a money economy, even beyond borders of countries which has made the markets volatile more than ever. The market leaders are the Government and private players, developing and managing human-resources.



"The idea starts with adopting economically weakest and their coming generations on a sincere promise of a planned, secure, and, bright future on the condition that we will provide all their rational demands (as per government's norms) from training, if needed, to employment to goods and services, but not money to avoid instability (economic and psychological) within the organization. But, the organization transacts in money with other organizations only to create a surplus by saving the economies of scale they would have paid and their savings, as well, to fulfill demands and avoid instabilities at a minimum cost". This will be a kind insurance for the rest of their lives and for their coming generation in lieu of their labour- skilled and unskilled- to the society, directly or indirectly. The value proposition is to remove poverty, unemployment –due to lack of skills and recessed economy- and inflation, in and out of the organization, and ultimately, raising the living-standards of the population to a level optimum within the existing resources. The current scenario of the economy points towards widespread poverty, unemployment, and inflation due to imbalances in income, consumption, savings, and, investment with money underlying all of them with the only rationale of facilitating a healthy trade-off for mutually dependent satisfaction, e.g., supplier's satisfaction depends upon demander's satisfaction and vice versa. Therefore, in a nut-shell, "the purpose of money is to take care of those who are dependent."



The welfare model proceeds as follow:
Step 1:- Convincing the population about our plan and make them understand well, the policies and objectives of the organization to avoid any discontent/misunderstanding in the future before adopting them. And, we will try to know if they want some changes in our policies through majority rule.
Step 2:- Identification of their skills/aptitude to know how we can ADD-VALUE to it, if needed, according to market's demand to provide/arrange jobs for them in exchange of money that will be deposited directly to the organization's bank account. And, with that money demands, in and out, of the organization will be managed at a minimum cost.
Step 3:-With the profits, the organization will start setting-up its own market to reduce the cost of creating better living-standards.



The model is based on the proposition that "survival demands fulfillment of needs which in turn demands employment for those who did/do not get a chance to plan for themselves. Employment generates demand which attracts supply and thereby induces further employment, consumption, and ultimately, profits and most importantly satisfaction." This idea has its origin in R.F.Kahn's employment-multiplier which Keynes used to create investment-multiplier, both were economists, but, Keynes is more popular. Moreover, the problem of the Phillips’ curve which says that the relationship between employment and inflation is a positive one may be rectified with a model close to a barter system since inflation is basically a by product of money. But, of course, in a barter economy inflation may exist in the shape of higher-demands but it would be a lot easier to spot the rationale. The second most plausible argument for money as a medium of exchange is that it has a store value. But once we are insured for all the generations the store value will not be a big issue. And, the third most plausible explanation for money is that it gives power to execute choice but the section of society we are aiming at already does not have any choice they are fighting for survival. But even when they would be able to execute their choice in a barter economy that choice will be according to their grades with a wide range of variety to choose from. Our ultimate purpose is to address poverty by setting a living-standard for the masses up to the level of bliss by addressing the Human-Resource market (development and management) and then the market as a whole. The flaws of the monetary-system as revealed by the global meltdown, itself, prompted me to come-up with an idea with which economic-stability of a system can be maintained without disturbing the peace of mind of all with a high rate of real growth and development.



In my enquiry into the purpose of money (most common denomination of every kind of wealth) of organizations to individuals what i found that Verily! Its "ultimate" purpose is to take care of those who are dependent. As we all know, first individuals depend on their parents, then on themselves and then future depends on them. This necessitates the demand for money which in turn demands a job. The present global meltdown of the economies World-over points towards the lack of stabilizers, by creating surpluses/capacities while using money as a "medium of exchange."



Of-course, it is the psychology of the man which is effecting the economy hard. The insecurity he feels is driving his actions. The information he is getting from various sources affects his consciousness to behave in a particular way. But, we cannot expect everybody to be so economically conscious even if they claim to be. Because, is it almost impossible to have all the information about the market to make use of it in order to maximize utility from our incomes, the most important constraint after time to get what we aspire. Here, this saying fits in “LIFE IS SHORT AND ART IS LONG”. Here the role of media also comes into the purview since it is the engine of information and instead of presenting a gloomy picture of the economies they can highlight the potentials. For example, when interest rates are at their minimum they should tell the masses that it would not fall further and in the future it is going to rise only. In such a case we can expect the end-user of the information to make its use in the same way he makes use of information regarding recession but for a positive effect. So the point is, if information is power make use of it at the right time at right place.



As far as gold and modern monetary system is concerned the potentials of such crisis will always be there. Here, once again the human psychology intervenes because as human-beings we are all same but when seen from an economic perspective some are better-off than others and the individual fight to reach the “bliss” through monetary means are bound to be stronger in worse-offs which is the majority and the problem also lies in the fact that nobody has a clear idea of what bliss is, not even me. But, undoubtedly it can be compared with some level of satisfaction. And, in an attempt to achieve that level in short-run risk-taking and speculation are easy ways which our monetary systems well provide. But even in that case it is not too difficult to find a few who can proudly say that they are completely satisfied with what they have.



Therefore, in an opinion it can be said that as long as our cumbersome and complex monetary systems provide rooms for speculation and excessive risk taking they will also provide rooms for unwanted economic cycles. Actually, they need an over-haul here to make the system simple and user-friendly. The rationale behind saving and different interest rates for different period is understandable. But the same unit of money fetching different returns for different product of different companies in the same time period does not deserve any justification but the lust to leave everybody and everything behind. And, i think humanity has progressed much to equate a person’s monthly basket of needs respectfully in return of his services to the society in a time bound manner which could be a probable solution of our un-tenable economic-systems.

TRADE UNIONS AND SUBSISTENCE EARNING -TRAP





Union is a beautiful word which entails harmony with it, but this is true of a WHOLE only. And, when there is more than one union within a whole the situation becomes aggravating and prone to conflicts. This is also of true modern business-organizations. Fairly, a sense of belonging and recognition of mutually inter-dependent interests is needed to make the unions worthwhile and successful. And, that demands inclusion of the authority figures to see, understand, and, feel the hardships an average laborer undergoes during his tenure. It is the limited conscious on the part the authorities deciding the trade-off issues is what make them insensitive and this factor is determined by forces out-side the organization. This insensitivity calls for tools to explore the cases of betterment within the resources willingly and, if not, can be developed through practice. For example, the authorities deciding the compensations should do a sample-survey in person to bridge the gap between the actual and the desired. This will help crop-up sensitivity which when absent is responsible of ir-rational demands, from all sides. It may lack the on other side as-well which demands the tools to make less-privileged understand the comparative performance of the business, compassionately, to contrast it with their demands. This is not easy to achieve and cultivating mutual-trust will take time and effort in the right direction. Both sides will have to win the trust needed from each-other to work in conjunction.




But, again, the well-being of just only one organization can not store all the confidence needed for a scale the writer is talking about. Actually, the subsistence-earning works in a similar way as the well-known concept of liquidity-trap in the sense that it is also a kind of trap which requires the same level of effort if not more to tread on a path of growth and prosperity. What is required is a similar institution for labor working on the same line as the Reserve Bank of India, if i’am not absurd, i think am not. And, in the time to come it will playa significant role in deciding the health of the Indian Economy by controlling the consumption of a billion people economy, by deciding the incomes of all under one hand.

Monday, December 28, 2009

To Find Myself


To find my-self,

i seek your help,

to feed my curiosity,

i ran the whole city.

In the bar,

in the car,

opening the jar,

closing it.

Alone with friends,

looking at the fence,

feeling it inside.

Turning left, turning right,

in the dark, in the light,

in the rest, in the fight

trying to know,
i'am who's kite?
A Great Help



Don not know ,

where my words go,

whenever i try,

try to pen them down,

i try to find them everywhere ,

and i find them just after you,

no right, no left,

neither east nor west,

not in between,

i find them right after you.

O! teacher, my divine light,

you made me learn to fight,

fighting with the odds of life,

and fighting with my self.

No doubt,

no doubt indeed, you were a great help.



Economic growth around...

  Food and fuel inflation is high in INDIA... the main sources of inflation... Lower fuel taxes could help lower inflation and increase prod...